@InProceedings{YanagirMelÁviSacFre:2015:IdTeCl,
author = "Yanagir, Silvia de Nazar{\'e} Monteiro and Mello, Carlos
Rog{\'e}rio de and {\'A}vila, L{\'e}o Fernandes and Sacramento
Neto, Ol{\'{\i}}vio Bahia do and Freitas, Fernanda Marques",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Universidade Federal
de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta
de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras
(UFLA)}",
title = "Identifica{\c{c}}{\~a}o de tend{\^e}ncia clim{\'a}tica na
s{\'e}rie temporal de temperaturas extremas do ar nos
munic{\'{\i}}pios de Minas Gerais",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2015",
pages = "2350--2354",
organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Agrometeorologia, 19.",
keywords = "vari{\'a}vel clim{\'a}tica, mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas,
tend{\^e}ncia, climatic variable, climatic changes, trend.",
abstract = "Objetivou-se com este trabalho analisar a exist{\^e}ncia de
tend{\^e}ncia temporal na s{\'e}rie hist{\'o}rica de
temperatura m{\'a}xima e m{\'{\i}}nima do ar, em quatro
munic{\'{\i}}pios do Estado de Minas Gerais, considerando a
escala anual. Foram utilizadas s{\'e}ries hist{\'o}ricas de
temperaturas m{\'{\i}}nimas e m{\'a}ximas di{\'a}rias do ar,
pertencentes {\`a} rede de monitoramento do Instituto Nacional de
Meteorologia (INMET), coletadas nas esta{\c{c}}{\~o}es
climatol{\'o}gicas principais localizadas nos munic{\'{\i}}pios
de Belo Horizonte, Florestal, Oliveira e Sete Lagoas, no
per{\'{\i}}odo de 1961 a 2009. Para an{\'a}lise de
tend{\^e}ncia da varia{\c{c}}{\~a}o de temperatura extremas,
foram aplicados os m{\'e}todos estat{\'{\i}}sticos a
an{\'a}lise de regress{\~a}o e o teste n{\~a}o-param{\'e}trico
de MannKendall. Observou-se aumentos significativos das
temperaturas m{\'{\i}}nimas e m{\'a}ximas anuais,
respectivamente, para as esta{\c{c}}{\~o}es meteorol{\'o}gicas
estudadas do estado de Minas Gerais, identificadas com boa
concord{\^a}ncia por ambos os testes estat{\'{\i}}sticos
aplicados. Em geral, os testes de Mann-Kendall e as an{\'a}lises
de regress{\~a}o linear apresentam concord{\^a}ncia, auxiliando
na identifica{\c{c}}{\~a}o de tend{\^e}ncias de s{\'e}ries
temporais. ABSTRACT: It was aimedwith this work to analyze the
existence of temporal trend in the historical series of maximum
and minimum air temperature, in four cities of Minas Gerais state,
considering the annual scale. Daily historical series of maximum
and minimum air temperature were used, which belongs to
themonitoring network of the National Institute of Meteorology
(INMET), collected at the main weather stations located in the
cities of Belo Horizonte, Florestal, Oliveira and SeteLagoas, in
the period from 1961 to 2009. To analyze the extreme temperatures
variation trend, statistical methods of regression analysis and
non-parametric Mann-Kendall test were applied. Significant
increases in annual minimum and maximum annual temperatures were
observed for the studied weather stations of Minas Gerais state,
identified with good agreement for both statistical tests applied.
Overall, the Mann-Kendall tests and the linear regression analyses
present agreement, helping in the identification of the historical
series trend.",
conference-location = "Lavras, MG",
conference-year = "23-28 ago.",
language = "pt",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}